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Lao PDR national flag

Lao PDR

Capital: Vientiane

Farmers harvesting rice in Don Det, Laos.
Farmers harvesting rice in Don Det, Laos. · Photo credit

Farmers harvesting rice in Don Det, Laos. Context photograph, not evidence of this initiative.

Photo: Basile Morin · CC BY-SA 4.0

Resized to maximum 1200 pixels without enlargement; JPEG re-encoded; EXIF orientation applied. Display may be cropped.

Drive evidence snapshot · 2026-11-01

Climate risks

Documented risk theme

River and flash floods

Documented risk theme

Drought and water stress

Documented risk theme

Heat and agricultural exposure

Screening themes, not three highest risks or comparative country ranking. These are qualitative themes, not comparable risk scores.

Evidence: ASCCR p.40; World Bank CCDR page; SRC-022; SRC-033 full CCDR 2026 archived · Checked 2026-11-01

Risk source
Evidence limitations

2026 CCDR full report and overview archived. Existing qualitative themes retained; quantitative scenario extraction and sensitivity checks pending.

Quantitative climate indicators

Climate indicators · Source scope and review decisions

Review supplied · Conflict unresolved

Supplied review & decision

老挝河流水灾暴露人口与 25 年一遇资产损失测算

Retain page 33 as supplied, with earlier page 290 in history. Quote has 260,0000 and 1.5 without percent; neither population correction is adopted. Asset damage is a 1-in-25-year event, not annual average.

Reported citation: Lao PDR Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR) · 2026 · PDF page 33

Holding population fixed, the annual number of people affected from floods is projected to grow from around 100,000 in current climate conditions (representing 1.5 of the total population) to about 140,000 under an optimistic climate scenario or 260,0000 in a pessimistic climate scenario. Probabilistic modeling for this CCDR shows that the estimated 1-in-25-year asset losses to built-up areas from floods-which already totaled US$662 million in 2020-could nearly double to US$1,265 million under an optimistic climate change scenario (SSP 1-RCP2.6) and to increase by a factor of four to around US$2,708 million under a pessimistic climate change scenario (SSP 5-RCP8.5).
Earlier supplied reviews (2)

老挝洪涝资产损失与水稻交替干湿灌溉(AWD)指标核验 · PDF page 290

Review claims absolute PDF page 290; earlier extracts use pages 9–13. Original edition, page count and printed/physical page mapping are required. This is 1-in-25-year built-up asset damage, not annual average loss.

老挝河流水灾受灾人口与建筑资产损失概率模型数据核验 · PDF page 33

Latest supplied review revises asset citation from page 290 to PDF page 33 (Section 3.1 / Figure 3.3); original page mapping still needs independent checking. Population quote still reads "260,0000" and "1.5" without %. Neither 260,000 nor 2,600,000 is adopted. Asset losses are 1-in-25-year event damage, not annual average.

External review, not independent original-source verification. Human review required · 2026-11-01.supplied-reviews.v3

People & exposure

Data under verification

No unambiguous quote-supported summary available.

Extraction, quote & page

Submitted extraction — not independently verified

在人口固定的前提下,每年受洪水影响的人口预计将从当前气候条件下的约 10 万人(占总人口的 1.5%)增至乐观情景下的约 14 万人或悲观情景下的 26 万人

Supplied page: p. 33 (latest supplied physical-page citation; original mapping pending)

Holding population fixed, the annual number of people affected from floods is projected to grow from around 100,000 in current climate conditions (representing 1.5 of the total population) to about 140,000 under an optimistic climate scenario or 260,0000 in a pessimistic climate scenario.

Economic impact

2–6% / 8–21% GDP

Combined GDP losses by 2030 / 2050; optimistic–pessimistic

Extraction, quote & page

Submitted extraction — not independently verified

气候变化导致的综合 GDP 损失在 2030 年预计达到 GDP 的 2%(乐观情景)至 6%(悲观情景);到 2050 年,损失可能达到 8% 至 21%

Supplied page: p. 11

the combined GDP losses could amount to 2 percent of GDP in 2030 under an optimistic climate change scenario and up to 6 percent under a pessimistic climate change scenario. By 2050, losses may reach 8% under an optimistic scenario or 21% under a pessimistic one.
Additional flood-asset claim · Revised supplied citation

US$662M → US$1,265M / US$2,708M · 1-in-25-year flood damage to built-up assets; 2020 baseline → 2050 optimistic / pessimistic scenarios

Latest supplied PDF page: 33 · Section 3.1 Managing flood risks / Figure 3.3. Earlier supplied page 290 is superseded, not independently corrected.

Holding population fixed, the annual number of people affected from floods is projected to grow from around 100,000 in current climate conditions (representing 1.5 of the total population) to about 140,000 under an optimistic climate scenario or 260,0000 in a pessimistic climate scenario. Probabilistic modeling for this CCDR shows that the estimated 1-in-25-year asset losses to built-up areas from floods-which already totaled US$662 million in 2020-could nearly double to US$1,265 million under an optimistic climate change scenario (SSP 1-RCP2.6) and to increase by a factor of four to around US$2,708 million under a pessimistic climate change scenario (SSP 5-RCP8.5).

Event-specific asset damage, not annual average or a headline GDP indicator. Original-page check outstanding.

Caveats: Latest supplied review revises asset citation from page 290 to PDF page 33 (Section 3.1 / Figure 3.3); original page mapping still needs independent checking. Population quote still reads "260,0000" and "1.5" without %. Neither 260,000 nor 2,600,000 is adopted. Asset losses are 1-in-25-year event damage, not annual average.

Source attribution & sectors

Supplied source: Lao PDR Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR) · 2026 · World Bank Group · pp. 11, 33 (supplied citations; original mapping pending)

Catalogue candidate: SRC-033 · Lao PDR Country Climate and Development Report — Full Report. A catalogue match does not verify the quoted page.

Open catalogue source ↗

Supplied vulnerable sectors: Agriculture and Rainfed Crop Systems · Water and Hydropower Infrastructure · Transport and Built Infrastructure · Labor Productivity and Public Health

Supplied hazards: Riverine Flooding · Severe Droughts and Water Deficit · Landslides and Extreme Precipitation

Import 2026-11-01-user-extract-v5. Different hazards, units, populations and projection horizons are not comparable; no ranking or combined total.

National climate policies

Solutions in national plans

Documented measures, not verified community project outcomes.

3 plan and demonstration extracts · Review decisions attached to individual records. Planned targets are not delivered outcomes.

Farmers harvesting rice in Don Det, Laos.

Lao PDR · Climate-Resilient Agriculture

NAFRI水稻干湿交替灌溉示范结果

引文报告NAFRI示范站点的用水、产量和甲烷结果,不证明全国推广、SRI或所列省份的实施情况。

Supplied metric · 交替干湿灌溉技术可减少54%的灌溉用水量并增加14%的产量

Context photo · Reported demonstration result · Review supplied · Source check outstanding

Saemangeum seawall in South Korea.

Lao PDR · Flood & Coastal Defense

河流流域综合防洪管控与湿地生物工程保护

结合工程堤防与湿地生态恢复,实施流域级综合防洪管理与河岸保护,有效降低高风险区域的洪涝资产损失。

Context photo · Policy direction / planned target · Source check outstanding

Natural siphon rain gauge at Agromet Phichit, Thailand.

Lao PDR · Early Warning & Disaster Resilience

全国气象水文早期预警监测网络扩展与提升

扩展气象水文监测站网络,建立24/7全天候预警预报与多渠道气象信息发布机制,重点覆盖偏远山区的脆弱群体。

Supplied metric · 未来5年投入4900万美元用于改善早期预警系统的覆盖率与质量

Context photo · Policy direction / planned target · Source check outstanding

COMMUNITY & CAPACITY EVIDENCE

Community & initiative catalogue

31 supplied extracts · 11 countries + regional records · Policy directions, reported activities and outcomes remain distinct.

1 matching extracts

Evaluation resources

Global frameworks; applicability depends on the project. No verified country-level outcome is implied.

Risk references & data gaps

Lao Risk WB Bitstream WorldBank ADB 2021 Original

2021 · PDF signature, title and available date/version metadata and provenance checked; qualifications in notes

Lao PDR Country Climate and Development Report — Full Report

2026 · PDF signature, title, cover/copyright year, 120 pages and source verified; Drive size and can_download readback verified

Cover and copyright 2026; report and overview retained as distinct documents. Open Knowledge public download succeeds while documents/thedocs endpoint remains blocked. Repository IDs are not used as the publication date.

Lao PDR Country Climate and Development Report — Overview

2026 · PDF signature, title, cover/copyright year, 20 pages and source verified; Drive size and can_download readback verified

Cover and copyright 2026; report and overview retained as distinct documents. Open Knowledge public download succeeds while documents/thedocs endpoint remains blocked. Repository IDs are not used as the publication date.

Supplied quantitative extracts are shown above with original-source verification pending. Units, scenarios and hazards differ; no comparative score or verified community outcome is implied.

Open knowledge archive

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