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A scientific climate knowledge dashboard: explore the map, compare countries, and report what you see on the ground.
Documented risk theme
Documented risk theme
Documented risk theme
Screening themes, not three highest risks or comparative country ranking. These are qualitative themes, not comparable risk scores.
Evidence: UNFCCC country page and NAP 2021; SRC-026, SRC-053 · Checked 2026-11-01
Risk sourceRisk original(s) archived; qualitative themes retained. Quantitative scenario extraction and updated assessment review pending
Themes are not rankings. Comparable risk analysis requires:
Hazard
How often and how intensely the event occurs.
Exposure
People, assets and ecosystems in harm's way.
Vulnerability
Sensitivity and capacity to cope or adapt.
Observed losses
Recorded damage — kept separate from losses attributed to climate change.
Projections
How the risk is expected to change in future scenarios.
Climate indicators · Source scope and review decisions
Source check outstanding
75–85%
Population residing in low / coastal areas; not a measured exposed population
Submitted extraction — not independently verified
每年 5.5 毫米的海平面上升速率构成威胁，直接悬在居住于低海拔和沿海地区的 75%-85% 全国人口的生计之上
Supplied page: p. 8
This slow-onset threat hangs over the livelihoods of 75-85% of Timor-Leste's population residing in low and coastal areas of the country.
10% annual GDP
Projected disaster damage by 2100; includes earthquakes and tsunamis
Submitted extraction — not independently verified
亚行 2013 年研究估计，到 2100 年热带风暴、滑坡、洪水等灾害损失可能高达年 GDP 的 10%
Supplied page: p. 27
A 2013 ADB study estimated that damage resulting from tropical windstorms, landslides, floods, earthquakes, and tsunamis may cost Timor-Leste 10% of its annual GDP by 2100, making it one of the worst hit countries in the Pacific region
Caveats: Source title combines NAP and NDC 3.0 with one year and no per-document pages. NAP is only a candidate source, not a confirmed attribution. The 5.5mm/year, 80% and hazard-specific dollar losses lack supporting quotes. The 10% estimate is multi-hazard, not climate-only.
Supplied source: Timor-Leste National Adaptation Plan / Climate Risk Profile: Timor-Leste · 2021 · Government of Timor-Leste & World Bank Group · pp. 8, 27
Catalogue candidate: SRC-031 · TL National Adaptation Plan 2021 CPR Copy. A catalogue match does not verify the quoted page.
Open catalogue source ↗Supplied vulnerable sectors: Agriculture and Subsistence Farming · Coastal Communities and Marine Infrastructure · Water Resources and WASH Infrastructure · Public Health
Supplied hazards: Extreme Precipitation and Flash Floods · Landslides and Soil Erosion · El Niño Droughts and Sea-Level Rise
Import 2026-11-01-user-extract-v5. Different hazards, units, populations and projection horizons are not comparable; no ranking or combined total.
Qualitative evidence · 2026-11-01. A missing theme is not evidence of no risk.
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